---
title: Calculate wildfire hazard
description: Vibrant Planet calculates wildfire hazard by evaluating burn probability and fire intensity using models from Pyrologix, with the results displayed as color-coded polygons indicating varying levels of hazard to aid in risk reduction and mitigation planning.
---

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# Calculate wildfire hazard

## Identify wildfire hazard across your analysis area

[Previously](https://go.vibrantplanet.net/learn/pinpoint-areas-for-scenario-planning?hsLang=en), we’ve explored how Vibrant Planet segments the landscape into management units, attributed with landscape condition information. The next step is to determine the potential wildfire hazard. 

**How our wildfire model works** 

To calculate wildfire hazard, Vibrant Planet evaluates burn probability and fire intensity together. These calculations are powered by Pyrologix, a Vibrant Planet company. Areas with the highest hazard generally contain the greatest combination of burn probability and fire intensity. 

- Burn probability (FSim) - the probability that a geographic location (30-m pixel) will experience a wildland fire. Modeled using FSim, which simulates the growth and behavior of hundreds of thousands of large fire events, based on historical fire occurrences, weather, terrain, and fuel.

  ![](https://go.vibrantplanet.net/hs-fs/hubfs/Screenshot%202024-08-23%20at%201-49-27%E2%80%AFPM-png.png?width=688&height=432&name=Screenshot%202024-08-23%20at%201-49-27%E2%80%AFPM-png.png)

- Fire intensity (wildEST)- the flame length that the pixel is likely to experience when it burns. This calculation uses a model developed by Pyrologix that performs 200+ simulations and uses local fuel, weather, and topography to generate estimates of contemporary flame lengths within a given pixel.

![](https://go.vibrantplanet.net/hs-fs/hubfs/Screenshot%202024-08-23%20at%201-49-56%E2%80%AFPM-png.png?width=688&height=361&name=Screenshot%202024-08-23%20at%201-49-56%E2%80%AFPM-png.png)

*Wildfire hazard mapped in Truckee, California*

Wildfire hazard data appears as color-coded polygons over a landscape. The darker the polygon, the higher the hazard. This information feeds into your future risk reduction strategy, helping predict how exposed resources on the landscape are to disturbance. 

Next, let’s [explore how we help you map resources and assets of value](https://go.vibrantplanet.net/learn/strategic-areas-resources-assets?hsLang=en), so you can ultimately understand the opportunities to increase the resilience of the things that matter most. 

- [Learn the Methodology](https://go.vibrantplanet.net/learn/learn-the-methodology?hsLang=en#main-content)

    - [Assess your landscape](https://go.vibrantplanet.net/learn/learn-the-methodology?hsLang=en#assess-your-landscape)
    - [Pinpoint areas for scenario planning](https://go.vibrantplanet.net/learn/learn-the-methodology?hsLang=en#pinpoint-areas-for-scenario-planning)
    - [Calculate wildfire hazard](https://go.vibrantplanet.net/learn/learn-the-methodology?hsLang=en#calculate-wildfire-hazard)
    - [Determine highly valued resources, assets, and areas](https://go.vibrantplanet.net/learn/learn-the-methodology?hsLang=en#determine-highly-valued-resources-assets-and-areas)
    - [Utilize planning areas and distinct management areas](https://go.vibrantplanet.net/learn/learn-the-methodology?hsLang=en#utilize-planning-areas-and-distinct-management-areas)
    - [Assess risk](https://go.vibrantplanet.net/learn/learn-the-methodology?hsLang=en#assess-risk)
    - [Understand possible management options for your area](https://go.vibrantplanet.net/learn/learn-the-methodology?hsLang=en#understand-possible-management-options-for-your-area)
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